xGoals% (xGF%)
Expected Goals percentage, the share of expected goals a team generates vs. allows. Accounts for shot quality (distance, angle, type, rebounds). Above 50% means a team creates more dangerous chances than it gives up. 5-on-5 xGF% is the single best team-strength indicator once ~20 games are in.
Corsi% (CF%)
Shot Attempts percentage, counts all shot attempts (on goal, missed, blocked) for and against. A pure shot-volume metric that correlates strongly with possession. Teams above 55% are controlling play significantly. Also called the "possession proxy."
Fenwick% (FF%)
Unblocked Shot Attempts percentage, like Corsi but excludes blocked shots, which partly depend on the opponent. Many analysts prefer Fenwick as more directly under a team's control. Generally tracks closely with Corsi.
PDO
Shooting% + Save% on shots, ×100. Most teams settle near 100, high PDO (above 102) often signals luck, low PDO (below 98) a team due for positive regression. Extremely noisy in October: treat early-season PDO as a luck meter, not a skill rating.
MoneyPuck Simulations
MoneyPuck simulates the rest of the season and playoffs thousands of times using team strength ratings, schedule and home ice. Each probability is how often a team hit that outcome across all simulations. Re-run after every game day.
GSAx
Goals Saved Above Expected, expected goals against (based on shot quality) minus goals actually allowed. Positive = the goalie stopped more than an average goalie would have facing the same shots. Better than SV% at separating goalie skill from team defence.